Dutch disease, informality, and employment intensity in Colombia

Error message

You are accessing PEP using an unencrypted connection. For your security, PEP only supports account logins using a secure protocol such as HTTPS. You can switch to HTTPS by trying to view this page again after changing the URL in your browser's location bar to begin with "https" instead of "http". Please contact site admin for help if this error continues.

This study investigates the impact of a boom in the Colombian oil and mining sectors on employment type and intensity, as well as the potential effects of Dutch Disease. Using CGE modelling, the team shows that a sustained oil export boom would lead to Dutch Disease effects, but also to a shift in employment from informal (not paying taxes) to formal labour. The researchers also test the effectiveness of the government’s policy responses (to counteract the Dutch Disease effects), and outline several recommendations for policy that will provide a workforce ready to meet the future needs of the Colombian economy. Find out more about the research methods, findings, and policy recommendations in the following PEP publications:


Project webpage | Working paper 2016-07 | Policy brief 134 | Slide presentation | More about the PEP-PAGE initiative

Project code: 

Funded by