CGE Application to Poverty and Income Distribution Analysis


ANALYSING MACRO-POVERTY LINKAGES

Adelman I. and S. Robinson, 1989, Income distribution and Development, in Handbook of Development Economics Edited by H. Chenery and TS. Srinivasan Vol II, pp. 949-1003

Bourguignon F., de Melo J. and Suwa A., 1991, Modeling the effects of Adjustment Programs on Income distribution, World Development, Vol 19 n 11, pp. 1527-1544.

Bourguignon, François, and Luiz A. Pereira da Silva. 2003. The Impact of Economic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution: Evaluation Techniques and Tools. World Bank and Oxford University Press, Washington, D.C. and New York. http://www1.worldbank.org/publications/pdfs/15491frontmat.pdf  Bussolo, M. and J. Round (2003), Poverty Reduction Strategies in a Budget-Constrained Economy: The Case of Ghana, OECD Development Centre Working Paper 220.

 

Décaluwé, B., Patry, A., Savard, L., Thorbecke, E. Poverty Analysis within a  General Equilibrium Framework. CREFA working papers no 9909, Université Laval, 1999.

http://www.crefa.ecn.ulaval.ca/cahier/9906.pdf 

Dervis K., J. de Melo and S. Robinson, 1982, Modeling distributional Mechanisms, Chapter 12 in General Equilibrium Models for Development Policy, A World Bank Research Publication.  

Gunter, B., M. Cohen and H. Löfgren, 2005, Analysing Macro-Poverty Linkages, Development Policy Review, Vol. 23, Issue 3, May

http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/toc/dpr/23/3

Lofgren, Hans, Sherman Robinson and Moataz El-Said. 2003. “Poverty and Inequality Analysis in a General Equilibrium Framework: The Representative Household Approach,” pp. 325-337 in eds. François Bourguignon and Luiz A. Pereira da Silva. The Impact of Economic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution: Evaluation Techniques and Tools. World Bank and Oxford University Press, Washington, D.C. and New York. http://poverty.worldbank.org/files/12938_chapter15.pdf 

Noland, M; Robinson, S and T. Wang. Famine in North Korea: Causes and Cure.  Institute of International economics, working papers no 99-2, 1999.

http://www.iie.com/CATALOG/WP/1999/99-2.pdf

Reimer, Jeffrey J., 2002, Estimating the Poverty Impacts of Trade Liberalization, GTAP Working Paper No. 20.

http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/res_display.asp?RecordID=1163

Thorbecke E., 1991, Adjustment, Growth and Income Distribution in Indonesia, World Development, Vol 19 n 11, pp. 1595-1614.

Thorbecke E. and Jung HS., 1996, A multiplier decomposition Method to Analyze Poverty Alleviation, Journal of Development Economics, Vol 48, pp. 279-300.


MICROSIMULATIONS

Agenor, P-R, Chen, D.H.C and Grimm, M. (2004) "Linking Representative Household Models with Household Surveys for Poverty Analysis: A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies" World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3343.

Annabi N. F. Cissé, J. Cockburn and B. Decaluwé (2005), Trade Liberalisation, Growth and Poverty in Senegal: a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model Analysis. Working Paper 05-12, CIRPEE, Université Laval, Canada. http://132.203.59.36/CIRPEE/cahierscirpee/2005/files/CIRPEE05-12.pdf 

Boccanfuso, Dorothée, François Joseph Cabral, Fatou Cissé, Abdoulaye Diagne and Luc Savard (2003), Pauvreté et distribution de revenus au Sénégal : une approche par la modélisation en équilibre général calculable micro-simulé, mimeo, PEP network.

Bourguignon, François, Anne-Sophie Robilliard, Sherman Robinson, Representative versus real households in the macro-economic modeling of inequality, Working paper DT 2003-10, DIAL.

Bussolo, M. and J. LAY, Globalization and Poverty Changes in Colombia, paper presented at ABCDE in Europe 2003 conference, April 2003.

Chen, Shaohua and Martin Ravallion, Household Welfare Impacts of China's Accession to the World Trade Organization, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3040, May 2003:

http://econ.worldbank.org/files/26013_wps3040.pdf

Cockburn, J. Trade liberalisation and poverty in Nepal: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro Analysis. Discussion paper 01-18, Centre de Recherche en  Économie et Finance Appliquées (Université Laval), October 2001. http://www.crefa.ecn.ulaval.ca/cahier/0118.pdf 

 

Cogneau D. and M. Grimm (2002), AIDS and income distribution in Africa. A microsimulation study for Côte d’Ivoire. DIAL Working Paper DT/2002/15, DIAL, Paris.

http://wiwi.uni-goettingen.de/vwlseminar/grimm/Grimm_aidsainc.pdf.

Cogneau D., M. Grimm and A.-S. Robilliard (2003), Evaluating poverty reduction policies: The contribution of micro-simulation technique. In J.-P. Cling, M. Razafindrakato and F. Roubaud (eds.), New International Poverty Reduction Strategies (pp. 340-370), London: Routledge Books.

Cogneau, D. Robillard, A. S. Growth, Income Distribution and Poverty in  Madagascar : Learning from a Microsimulation Model in a General Equilibrium Framework. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD Discussion papers no 61, February 2000.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp61.pdf 

Cororaton, C.B. and Cockburn, J. (2005), Trade Reform and Poverty in the Philippines: a Computable General Equilibrium Microsimulation Analysis. Working Paper 05-13, CIRPEE, Université Laval, Canada. http://132.203.59.36/CIRPEE/cahierscirpee/2005/files/CIRPEE05-13.pdf

Davies, Jim, Microsimulation, CGE and Macro Modelling for Transition and Developing Economies, mimeo, University of Western Ontario, 2004. PDF

Decaluwe, B., J.-C. Dumont et L. Savard, Measuring Poverty and Inequality in Computable General Equilibrium Model Cahier de recherche 99-26, CREFA, Economic Department, Laval University, 1999.
http://www.ecn.ulaval.ca/w3/recherche/cahiers/1999/9926.pdf

Dixon P., M. Malakellis and G. Meagher, 1996, A Microsimulation/Applied General Equilibrium Approach to Analysing Income Distribution in Australia : Plans and Preliminary Illustration, Monash University CPSIP Working Paper IP-67.

Filho, J.B.S.F. and J.M. Horridge, Economic Integration, Poverty and Regional Inequality in Brazil, COPS general working paper G-149, Monash University, Australia, July 2004.

Karl, Claudio R. How Can The Poor Be Affected By Tax Policies And Macroeconomic Shocks? A Quantitative Assessment Using A Computable General Equilibrium Framework For Colombia, Department of Economics, University of Los Andes, April 2004

Kirman A., 1992, Whom or what does the representative individual represent?, Journal of Economic Perspective, Vol 6 n 2: 117-136.

Robilliard A.S., Examining the Social Impact of the Indonesian Financial Crisis using a Micro-Macro Model, paper presented at ABCDE in Europe 2003 conference, April 2003.
 
Robilliard AS. and Robinson S., 1999, Reconciling Household Surveys and National Accounts Data Using a Cross Entropy Estimation Method, IFPRI-TMD Discussion Paper, #50.
http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp50.pdf 
 
Rutherford, T., D. Tarr and O. Shepotylo, 2004, Poverty Effects of Russia’s WTO Accession: modeling “real” households and endogenous productivity effects, mimeo.
 
Savard, Luc, 2004, Poverty and Inequality Analysis within a CGE Framework: A Comparative Analysis of the Representative Agent and Micro-Simulation Approaches, IDRC.
 
Savard, Luc, 2003, Poverty and Income Distribution in a CGE-household sequential model, presented at WIDER conference on "Inequality, Poverty, and Human Well-Being", May 30-31, 2003. PDF

Reconciliation of household survey and national accounts data

Fofana, I. et J. Cockburn, 2003, La micro simulation en équilibre général calculable: Procédure d’analyse et de conciliation des données, miméo, CIRPÉE (Université Laval). PDF: français

Fofana, I. and J. Cockburn, 2003, Microsimulations in Computable General Equilibrium: Procedures for Analysing and Reconciling Data, mimeo, CIRPÉE (Université Laval). PDF: English

Maros, I.  (2004), Reconciliation of the GTAP and Household Survey Data, GTAP - RM No. 5. PDF


POVERTY AND INCOME DISTRIBUTION EFFECTS OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION

Adelman, I, M.J.D. Hopkins, S., Robinson, G.B., Rodgers, and R. Wery. A Comparison of Two Models for Income Distribution Planning. Journal of Policy Modeling, 1979, 1, p. 37-82.

Adelman, I., Robinson, S. Macroeconomic Adjustment and Income Distribution: Alternative Models Applied to Two Economies. Journal of Development Economics, 1988, 29, p.23-44.

Akinboade, O. A. Macroeconomic Reform and the Poor in the Gambia: A computable General Equilibrium Analysis. Canadian Journal of Development Studies, 19 (1), 1998.

Ardnt, C., Tarp J., H., Robinson, S. and F. Tarp. Marketing Margins and Agricultural Technology in Mozambique. Journal of Development Studies, 37 (1), p.121-137, October 2000.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp37.pdf 

Ardnt, C. and Tarp, F. Agricultural Technology, Risk, and Gender: A CGE Analysis of Mozambique. World Development, 28 (7), pp. 1397-1326, 2000.

Bautista, R. M. and M. Thomas. Macroeconomic and Agricultural Reforms in  Zimbabwe: Policy Complementarities Toward Equitable Growth. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD Discussion paper no 57, June 2000.

 http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp57.pdf

Bautista, R. M., Löfgren, M and M. Thomas. Does Trade Liberalisation Enhance Growth. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD Discussion papers no 32, September 1998.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/checknames.cfm/tmdp32.pdf?name=tmdp32.pdf&direc=d:/webs/ifpri/divs/tmd/dp/papers 

Bourguignon, F., Branson, W.H. and J. De Melo. Macroeconomic Adjustment and Income Distribution: A Macro-Micro Simulation Model OECD technical papers no 1, march 1989.

http://www1.oecd.org/dev/PUBLICATION/tp/tp1.pdf 

Bourguignon, F., De Melo, J., Suwa, A. Modeling the Effect of Adjustment Programs on Income Distribution. World Development, 1991, 19 (11), p. 1527-1544.

Chan, N., Ghosh, M and J. Whalley. Evaluating Tax reform in Vietnam using General  Equilibrium Methods. MIMAP, International Development Research Centre (IDRC), 1999.

http://www.ssc.uwo.ca/economics/econref/html/WP99/wp9906.pdf 

Chia, N-C., Wahba, S. and J. Whalley. Tax Incidence Analysis in Developing Countries: The Case of Côte d’Ivoire. Poverty and Social Policy Division, Technical Department, Africa Region, The World Bank. Technical note, June 1992.

Chisari, O. and C. Romero.  A CGE Model for Argentina Emphasizing Income Distribution and Financial Fragility. Presented at the 6th CGE Modeling  Conference, University of Waterloo, Canada, on October 28, 1995.

Cockburn, J. Trade liberalisation and poverty in Nepal: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro Analysis. Discussion paper 01-18, Centre de Recherche en  Économie et Finance Appliquées (Université Laval), October 2001.

http://www.crefa.ecn.ulaval.ca/cahier/0118.pdf 

Cogneau, D., Herrera, J. and Roubaud, F. La devaluation du franc CFA au CamerounÉconomies et Sociétés, 33 (1), p.169-203.

Cogneau, D. Robillard, A. S. Growth, Income Distribution and Poverty in  Madagascar : Learning from a Microsimulation Model in a General Equilibrium Framework. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD Discussion papers no 61, February 2000.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp61.pdf 

Décaluwé, B., Patry, A., Savard, L., Thorbecke, E. Poverty Analysis within a  General Equilibrium Framework. CREFA working papers no 9909, Université Laval, 1999.

http://www.crefa.ecn.ulaval.ca/cahier/9906.pdf 

De Melo, J. Robinson, S. Trade Adjustment Policies and Income Distribution in  Three Archetype Developing Economies. Journal of Development Economics, 10, 1982, p. 67-92.

De Melo, J, Robinson S. The Impact of Trade Policies on Income Distribution in a Planning Model for Colombia. Journal of Policy Modeling, 1980, 2(1), p. 81-100.

Devarajan, S., Van der Mensbrugghe, D. Trade Reform in South Africa: Impacts on Households. Presented at conference on Poverty and The International Economy, organized by the World Bank and The Parliamentary Commission on Swedish Policy for Global Development, held in Stockholm, October 11, 2000.

http:\\www1.worldbank.org\wbiep\trade\papers\SAtradereform.pdf 

Dorosh, Paul A. Structural Adjustment, Growth, and Poverty in Madagascar : A CGE Analysis. Cornell Food and Nutrition Policy Program, Monograph 17, February 1994.

Fontana, M., Wobst, P and P. Dorosh. Macro Policies and the Food Sector in  Bangladesh: A General Equilibrium Analysis. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD discussion papers no 73, February 2001.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/checknames.cfm/tmdp73.pdf?name=tmdp73.pdf&direc=d:/webs/ifpri/divs/tmd/dp/papers

Harrison, Glenn, W., Rutherford, T. F., Tarr, D. G. Trade liberalization, Poverty and Efficient Equity Presented at conference on Poverty and The International Economy, organized by the World Bank and The Parliamentary Commission on Swedish Policy for Global Development, held in Stockholm, October 11, 2000.

http://www1.worldbank.org/wbiep/trade/papers/HRTpoverty9.PDF

Hertel, Thomas W.; Preckel, V. Paul and Cranfield, John A. L. Multilateral trade Liberalization and poverty reduction. October 10 , 2000

http://www1.worldbank.org/wbiep/trade/papers/cranfield.pdf

Ianchovichina, E, Nicita, A., and I. Sologa. Trade Reform and Household Welfare : The Case of Mexico. World Bank, DECRG-Trade. August 2001. 

http://econ.worldbank.org/files/2386_wps2667.pdf

Lee Harris, R. A Computable Equilibrium Analysis of Mexico’s Agricultural Reforms. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD discussion papers no 65, January 2001.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp65.pdf

Lee Harris, R. The Distributional Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks in Mexico:  Threshold Effect in a Multi-Region CGE Model. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD discussion papers no 44, July 1999.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp44.pdf

Löfgren, Hans with O. Chulu, O. Sichinga, F. Simtowe, H. Tchale, R. Tseka, and Wobst, P. External Shocks and Domestic Poverty alleviation: Simulations with a CGE Model of Malawi. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD discussion papers no 71, February 2001.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp71.pdf

Löfgren, Hans. Less Poverty in Egypt? Explorations of Alternatives Pasts with  Lessons for the Future. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD discussion paper no 72. February 2001.

http://www.ifpri.cgiar.org/divs/tmd/dp/papers/tmdp72.pdf 

McMahon, Gary. Tariff policy, Income distribution, and Long-Run Structural Adjustment in a Dual Economy: A Numerical Analysis. Journal of Public Economics, 42, pp. 105-123, 1990.

Montaud, J-M. Dotations en Capital et Pauvreté des Ménages au Burkina Fao : une Analyse en Équilibre Général Calculable. Centre d’Économie du Développement (CED), Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV et Centre d’Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données (CATT), Université de Pau et des Pays de l’Adour.

http://ced.montesquieu.u-bordeaux.fr/ceddt50.pdf

Morisson, C. Adjustment, Incomes and Poverty in Morocco. World Development, 1991, 19 (11), p. 1633-1651.

Narayan, N. S. S.; Parikh, K.S., Srinivasan, T. N. Indian Agricultural Policy: An  Applied General Equilibrium Model. Journal of Policy Modeling, 9 (4), 527-558. 1987.

Parry, I. W. H. The Costs of Restrictive Trade Policies in the Presence of Factor Tax  Distortions. Resources for the future, Discussion Papers, October 1999.

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Radelet, S. The Gambia’s Economic Recovery: Policy Reforms, Foreign Aid, or Rain? Journal of Policy Modeling, 15 (3), pp. 251-276, 1993.

San, N.N., Löfgren, H. and S. Robinson. Structural Adjustment, Agriculture, and  Deforestation in the Sumatera Regional Economy. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD discussion papers no 52, March, 2000.

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Storm, S. Foodgrain. Stabilization in an Open Economy: A CGE Analysis of Variable  Trade Levies for India. Journal of Development Studies, 36 (2), December 1999, pp. 136-159.

Tarp J., Henning and Tarp, Finn. On the choice of appropriate development Strategy: Insights from a CGE Modelling of the Mozambican Economy. Paper presented at the UNU/WIDER Development Conference on Growth and Poverty, Helsinki (25-26 May 2001)

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Taylor, L., E. Bacha, E.A. Cardoso, and F.J. Lysy. Models of growth and Distribution for Brazil. Oxford; Oxford University Press, 1980, 355 p.

Thorbecke E. Adjustment, Growth and Income Distribution in Indonesia, World Development, Vol 19 n 11, 1991, pp. 1595-1614. 

Wang, Z. and Zhai, F. Tariff Reduction, Tax replacement and Implications for Income Distribution on China. Journal of Comparative Economics, 26 (2), pp. 358-387, 1998.

Wobst, Peter. Why the Poor Care about Partial versus General Equilibrium Effects. Part 1: Methodology and Country Case. Trade and Macroeconomic Division, International Food Policy Research (IFPRI), TMD discussion papers no 60, November 2000.

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